Trade Unions In An Emerging Economy: The Case Of South Africa
Haroon Bhorat, Karmen Naidoo, Derek Yu
WP 201402, July 2014
This paper provides a historical overview of the South African trade union movement before and after the end of apartheid. Labour market legislation and institutions formed since 1994 are discussed, with an evaluation of the impact of trade unions and wage legislation on labour market outcomes in South Africa.
Economic Policy in South Africa: Past Present and Future
Haroon Bhorat, Alan Hirsch, Ravi Kanbur and Mthuli Ncube
WP 201401, July 2014
As the 20th anniversary of the transition to democracy approaches in 2014, the economic policy debates in SA are in full flow. The forthcoming Oxford Companion to the Economics of South Africa contributes to the policy and analytical debate by drawing together perspectives from leading economists working on SA.
Do Industrial Disputes Reduce Employment? Evidence from South Africa
Haroon Bhorat, Elne Jacobs and Carlene van der Westhuizen
WP 13/161, December 2013
Theory predicts that an increase in employment protection may reduce employment levels by acting as a tax on firms by constraining hiring and firing decisions. We use a unique administrative database of the country’s dispute resolution body – the Commission for Conciliation, Mediation and Arbitration (CCMA) – to create a nuanced and empirically based measure of employment protection for the labour market in South Africa.
Unemployment Insurance in South Africa: A Descriptive Overview of Claimants and Claims
Haroon Bhorat, Sumayya Goga and David Tseng
WP 13/160, December 2013
This study, primarily descriptive in nature, is one of the first to examine the claiming behaviour of unemployment benefit recipients within the South African Unemployment Insurance Fund (UIF) system. In the period between 2005 and 2011, those with the lowest potential claim periods were also subject, on average, to lower absolute benefits compared to their wealthier counterparts.
Labour Unions and Wage Inequality Among African Men in South Africa
Miracle Ntuli and Prudence Kwenda
WP 13/159, December 2013
One Achilles’ heel of post-Apartheid South Africa is the growing intra-racial income inequality, particularly among Africans. This paper examines the role of labour unions in explaining this phenomenon among African men given that labour markets are at the core of income inequality in South Africa.
Inflation Inequality In South Africa
WP 13/158, October 2013
The inflation crisis of 2008 drew greater attention to the varying experiences of inflation in South Africa and, in particular, to the fact that different groups within society may have significantly differing inflation experiences. The groups may be defined according to income level, but may also be categorised according to demographic, labour market and other characteristics.
Maximising South Africa's Demographic Dividend
WP 13/157, October 2013
Based on 2005 estimates of National Transfer Accounts for South Africa, this paper investigates the resource flows across ages within the generational economy. The paper provides estimates of the lifecycle deficit and describes the financing of the deficit. The final section of the paper discusses the first and second demographic dividends and looks at potential policy options that would help the country maximise the benefit that arises through the demographic transition.
Disability Grant and Individual Labour Force Participation: The Case of South Africa
WP 12/156, December 2012
Despite the explosive growth in the number of people receiving disability benefits in South Africa, very little is known about the labour supply effects of the disability grant (DG). This study investigates the impact of disability grant receipt on labour force participation. Consideration is given to potential bias that may arise from unobserved confounding factors.
Demographic, Community and Macroeconomic Effects on Disability Grant Programme Participation
WP 12/155, December 2012
This paper investigates the role of demographic, community and macroeconomic effects on Disability Grant programme (DGP) participation. The study descriptively analyses demographic patterns of the disability grant (DG) beneficiaries using data from the 2002 to 2007 rounds of the General Household Survey (GHS). The decision to participate in the programme is empirically examined by probit techniques using data drawn from the 2007 wave of the GHS.
The Impact of Sectoral Minimum Wage Laws on Employment, Wages and Hours of Work in South Africa
Haroon Bhorat, Ravi Kanbur, Natasha Mayet
WP 12/154, November 2012
This paper attempts to investigate the impact of sectoral wage laws in South Africa. Specifically, we examine the impact of minimum wage laws promulgated in the Retail, Domestic work, Forestry, Security, and Taxi sectors using 15 waves of biannual Labour Force Survey data for the 2000-2007 period.
Student Graduation, Labour Market Destinations and Employment Earnings
Haroon Bhorat, Natasha Mayet, Mariette Visser
WP 12/153, November 2012
This paper investigates the labour market destinations of graduates from seven higher education institutions in South Africa. A three-step estimation procedure is employed in which the relative importance of covariates such as age, race, and gender in each stage from educational attainment to pre-defined labour market outcomes, is estimated.
Employment Outcomes and Returns to Earnings in Post-Apartheid South Africa
Haroon Bhorat, Natasha Mayet
WP 12/152, November 2012
This paper attempts to understand some of the key drivers of employment and earnings trends within the South African labour market in the 15 years following the demise of apartheid. A number of factors are discussed which feature in the understanding of South Africa’s labour market dynamics in general, and its high unemployment levels in particular.
Poverty, Inequality and the Nature of Economic Growth in South Africa
Haroon Bhorat, Carlene Van Der Westhuizen
WP 12/151, November 2012
The post-1994 period in the South African economy is characterised, perhaps most powerfully, by the fact that the economy recorded one of its longest periods of positive economic growth in the country’s history. One of the more vexing issues within the economic policy terrain in post-apartheid South Africa though, has been the impact of this consistently positive growth performance on social welfare.
A Nation in Search of Jobs: Six Possible Policy Suggestions for Employment Creation in South Africa
WP 12/150, July 2012
I provide six possible employment creating policy options within the arena of principally, but not exclusively, active labour market policy. The notion is that interventions in these areas should provide for short-term and possibly long-term employment creation avenues and options for the currently unemployed.
Estimating the Impact of Minimum Wages on Employment, Wages and Non-wage Benefits: The Case of Agriculture in South Africa
Haroon Bhorat, Ravi Kanbur, Benjamin Stanwix
WP 12/149, July 2012
Assessments of the impact of minimum wages on labour market outcomes in Africa are relatively rare. In part this is because the data available do not permit adequate treatment of econometric issues that arise in such an assessment. This paper attempts to estimate the impact of the introduction of a minimum wage law within the Agriculture sector in South Africa, based on 15 waves of the biannual Labour Force Survey (LFS), starting in September 2000 and ending in September 2007.
The Gender Wage Gap in the Post-apartheid South African Labour Market
Haroon Bhorat, Sumayya Goga
WP 12/148, July 2012
We estimate the gender wage gap for Africans in post-apartheid South Africa over the 2001 to 2007 period. Separate male and female earnings equations yields no significant decline in the conditional wage gap, regardless of whether we correct for selection into the labour force and employment or not.
The Newly Unemployed and the UIF Take-up Rate in the South African Labour Market
Haroon Bhorat, David Tseng
WP 12/147, July 2012
This paper investigates the take-up rate or claim-waiting rate of the unemployed under the South African Unemployment Insurance Fund (UIF) system. The goal is to identify disincentive effects that income replacement rates (IRR) and accumulated credits may have on the claimant‟s behaviour in terms of their claim waiting period rate (or how quickly they apply for UIF benefits).
Institutional Wage Effects: Revisiting Union and Bargaining Council Wage Premia in South Africa
Haroon Bhorat, Sumayya Goga, Carlene Van Der Westhuizen
WP 11/146, December 2011
The literature on the union wage gap in South Africa is extensive, spanning a range of datasets and methodologies. There is however little consensus on the appropriate method to correct for the endogeneity of union membership or the size of the union wage gap. Furthermore, there are very few studies on the bargaining council wage premium in South Africa due to lack of data on coverage of employees under these agreements.
Estimating the Causal Effect of Enforcement on Minimum Wage Compliance : The Case of South Africa
Haroon Bhorat, Ravi Kanbur, Natasha Mayet
WP 11/145, November 2011
This paper attempts to estimate the causal effect of government enforcement on compliance with minimum wages in South Africa, a country where considerable non-compliance exists. The number of labour inspectors per capita is used as a proxy for enforcement, whilst non-compliance is measured using an index of violation that measures both the proportion of individuals violated, as well as the average depth of individual violation.
Economists versus the Street: Comparative Viewpoints on Barriers to Self-employment in Khayelitsha, South Africa
Paul Cichello, Liberty Mncube, Morne Oosthuizen, Laura Poswell
WP 11/144, November 2011
What prevents the unemployed in Khayelitsha, South Africa from trying self-employment? Perceptions of a small group of academic economists are presented and compared to the perceptions of unemployed Khayelitsha residents themselves.
Minimum Wage Violation in South Africa
Haroon Bhorat, Ravi Kanbur, Natasha Mayet
WP 11/143, October 2011
Minimum wage legislation is central in South African policy discourse, with both strong support and strong opposition. The validity of either position depends, however, on the effectiveness of minimum wage enforcement. Using detailed matching of occupational, sectoral and locational codes in the 2007 Labour Force Survey to the gazetted minimum wages, this paper presents, we believe for the first time, estimates of minimum wage violation in South Africa.
Estimating a poverty line: An application to free basic municipal services in South Africa
Haroon Bhorat, Morne Oosthuizen, Carlene Van Der Westhuizen
WP 11/142, October 2011
One of the key interventions aimed at improving the welfare of South African households has been local government’s provision of a package of free basic services (FBS) to poor households. It is, however, not completely clear how different municipalities identify households which are eligible for FBS. Evidence suggests that many municipalities currently provide services to all households with a monthly income of less than R1500 per month.
Transformation: African People in the Western Cape. An Overview
Sabie Surtee and Martin J Hall
WP 10/141, December 2010
This paper is based on data from interviews with a number of mostly Western Cape based companies and employees with the objective of understanding the barriers to the achievement of employment equity for African people.
Labour Reform in South Africa: Measuring Regulation and a Synthesis of Policy Suggestions
Haroon Bhorat and Halton Cheadle
WP 09/139, September 2009
Even though the South African economy is formally categorised as an upper-middle income country, it has one of the highest unemployment rates in the world. The economy’s unemployment rate stands officially at 26.7 per cent and 38.8 per cent. This characteristic, more than any other, has placed market regulation high on the agenda of pertinent policy issues in South Africa.
Income and Non-Income Inequality in Post-Apartheid South Africa: What are the Drivers and Possible Policy Interventions?
Haroon Bhorat, Carlene Van Der Westhuizen and Toughedah Jacobs
WP 09/138, August 2009
Analysis using data from the 1995 and 2000 Income and Expenditure Surveys has found a significant increase in income inequality over the period and, further, that this increase in inequality eroded any significant poverty-reduction gains from higher economic growth.
Understanding the Efficiency and Effectiveness of the Dispute Resolution System in South Africa: An Analysis of CCMA Data
Haroon Bhorat, Kalie Pauw and Liberty Mncube
WP 09/137, July 2009
This paper, while broadly located within reforming the labour market policy debate, is specifically focused on one aspect of the labour regulatory regime, namely the dispute resolution system. Hence, we attempt to understand the efficiency and effectiveness of the country’s institutionalised dispute resolution body, the Commission for Conciliation, Mediation and Arbitration (CCMA).
A Synthesis of Current Issues in the Labour Regulatory Environment
Haroon Bhorat and Carlene Van Der Westhuizen
WP 09/136, February 2009
During 2006 and 2007, a selection of research papers, in the main written by labour law experts, have provided critical input and guidance on the nature of the debate around the efficiency of the labour regulatory environment in South Africa.
Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour Markets: The Role of Bargaining Councils
Haroon Bhorat, Carlene Van Der Westhuizen and Sumayya Goga
WP 09/135, January 2009
The role of bargaining councils, the central pillar of collective bargaining in South Africa, in the formation of wages is important in the context of high unemployment rates in South Africa. In this study we find that while institutionalised collective bargaining system covered substantially more formal sector workers in 2005 (30 percent) compared to 1995 (15 percent), this still meant that less than a third of the formally employed were covered by bargaining councils.
An Analysis of Commission for Conciliation Mediation and Arbitration Awards
Ian Macun, Daniel Lopes and Paul Benjamin
WP 08/134, August 2008
This paper reports on research that involved the analysis of 873 Commission for Conciliation Mediation and Arbitration (CCMA) arbitration awards sampled from unfair dismissal and unfair labour practice cases for the years 2003 to 2005. The sample of awards was selected in proportion to the case load of each of the Provincial offices of the CCMA.
Poverty and 'Second Economy' in South Africa: An Attempt to Clarify Applicable Concepts and Quantify Extent of Relevant Challenges
WP 08/133, June 2008
In brief, the paper firstly summarises old and new theoretical and technical issues on measuring poverty, secondly analyses poverty from different perspectives and highlights various research findings on poverty trends in South Africa and thirdly clarifies the notion of ‘second economy’ and attempts to ‘measure’ it.
Carmel Marock, Candice Harrison-Train, Prof Bobby Soobrayan and Jonothan Gunthorpe
WP 08/132, May 2008
The paper argues that significant progress has been achieved by SETAs and the Skills Development system.
Costing, Comparing and Competing: Developing an Approach to the Benchmarking of Labour Market Regulation
Paul Benjamin and Jan Theron
WP 07/131, November 2007
The World Bank’s Doing Business survey seeks to measure and compare the costs to business of various types of regulation, including labour regulation. As such it is an important driver of labour market ‘reform’ globally and in South Africa. It may also be encouraging a tendency of different systems of regulation to converge.
The State of Collective Bargaining in South Africa: An Empirical and Conceptual Study of Collective Bargaining
Shane Godfrey, Jan Theron and Margareet Visser
WP 07/130, November 2007
The research examines the current state of collective bargaining, the nature of existing bargaining structures, alternative models that have developed, and the problems being experienced in the current system.
Consumer Price Inflation across the Income Distribution in South Africa
WP 07/129, November 2007
By monitoring the price changes experienced by some representative household, consumer price indices provide an important measure of changing purchasing power within a given economy. Group price indices offer one method of more accurately reflecting the inflation experiences of specific types of households, such as poor households, elderly households or households with children, for example.
Welfare Shifts in the Post-Apartheid South Africa: A Comprehensive Measurement of Changes
Haroon Bhorat, Carlene Van Der Westhuizen and Sumayya Goga
WP 07/128, October 2007
The objective of this study is to provide a comprehensive measure of shifts in welfare in post-apartheid South Africa by examining changes in both income and non-income welfare between 1993 and 2005. Research considering the changes in non-income welfare in the post-apartheid South Africa has found significant increases in the levels of non-income welfare, driven to a large extend by the increased delivery of basic services by government since 1994.
Expanding the Social Security Net in South Africa: Opportunities, Challenges and Constraints
Kalie Pauw and Liberty Ncube
WP 07/127, September 2007
Rapid increases in government expenditure on social security between 2000 and 2006 has further increased poor households’ reliance on welfare grants and has been important in the fight against poverty. Already there is evidence of a substitution taking place within the social budget: expenditure on education and health seems to have declined in favour of increased welfare transfer expenditure.
The Impact of Growth and Redistribution on Poverty and Inequality in South Africa
Kalie Pauw and Liberty Ncube
WP 07/126, August 2007
This country study evaluates the experience of the South African economy with respect to growth, poverty and inequality trends since the advent of democracy in 1994.
Setas - A Vehicle for the Skills Revolution?
WP 07/125, July 2007
Sector Education and Training Authorities (Setas), established in terms of the Skills Development Act, 97 of 1998, were launched amid much fanfare and expectation of delivery towards achieving a skills revolution in the country.
The International Literature on Skills Training and the Scope for South African Application
WP 07/124, July 2007
This paper aims to place, in the South African policy context, selected issues from the international literature on skills training. The main lessons are that skills training resembles education in being partly a public good.
Sticking to the Facts: Official and Unofficial Stories about Poverty and Unemployment in South Africa
WP 07/123, June 2007
The major cause of poverty is unemployment. This paper looks at aspects of the way government responds to claims that are made, chiefly by academics, about poverty and unemployment. Official statistics on poverty and unemployment enjoy little favour among senior politicians and civil servants.
Have Pro-Poor Health Policies Improves the Targeting of Spending and the Effective Delivery of Health Care in South Africa?
Ronelle Burger and Christelle Grobler
WP 07/122, June 2007
Since 1994 there have been a number of radical changes in the public health care system in South Africa. Budgets have been reallocated, decision making was decentralised, the clinic network was expanded and user fees for primary health care were abolished.
Skills Shortages in South Africa: A Literature Review
WP 07/121, May 2007
This paper conducts a review of the literature on skills shortages in South Africa. It is demonstrated that different Government departments have different views concerning the definition of skills shortages. This is largely due to the omission in any official government literature of tying the concept of “skills shortages” to productivity.
Unemployment, Education and Skills Constraints in Post-Apartheid South Africa
Rosa Dias and Dorrit Posel
WP 07/120, March 2007
This paper investigates the relationship between education and unemployment in post-apartheid South Africa, and probes the argument that employment growth has been inhibited particularly by skills constraints. We use probit regression analysis to show that higher education protected against unemployment in both 1995 and 2003, and that overall, the relative benefits to tertiary education rose over the period.
Regulating Flexibility and Small Business: Revisiting the LRA and BCEA. A Response to Halton Cheadle's Concept Paper
Andre van Niekerk
WP 07/119, March 2007
This paper is a response, from a business perspective, to Halton Cheadle’s concept paper titled ‘Regulating flexibility: Revisiting the LRA and the BCEA’ (DPRU Working Paper 06/109). This paper seeks to respond to each of the issues raised by Cheadle, and to his reflections on each. As previously noted, the paper has been drafted to present a business perspective.
Women in South African Labour Market, 1995 - 2005
Carlene Van Der Westhuizen, Sumayya Goga and Morne Oosthuizen
WP 07/118, February 2007
The objective of this report is to provide an overview of the changes in the status of women in the South African labour market between 1995 and 2005. The report finds that the feminisation of the South African labour force between 1995 and 2005 has been driven specifically by greater numbers of African women entering the labour force.
Wage Trends in Post-Apartheid South Africa: Constructing an Earnings Series from Household Survey Data
Rulof Burger and Derek Yu
WP 07/117, February 2007
This paper examines South African wage earnings trends using all the available post-1994 household survey datasets. This allows us to identify and address the sources of data inconsistencies across surveys in order to construct a more comparable earnings time series.
An Exploratory Look into Labour Market Regulation
WP 07/116, January 2007
This paper welcomes the fact that the discussion about the labour market and small business has broadened in scope. It considers some of the suggestions made by Cheadle (2006) in his recent concept paper. These include dismissals, unfair labour practices, appointments and promotions and collective bargaining.
Graduate Unemployment in the Context of Skills Shortages, Education and Training: Findings from a Firm Survey
Kalie Pauw, Haroon Bhorat, Sumayya Goga, Liberty Ncube, Morne Oosthuizen and Carlene Van Der Westhuizen
WP 06/115, November 2006
The paper reflects on the findings from a firm survey conducted among twenty of South Africa’s largest firms across a range of sectors. The survey formed part of research conducted by the Development Policy Research Unit on graduate unemployment in South Africa.
Graduate Unemployment in the Face of Skill Shortages: A Labour Market Paradox
Kalie Pauw, Morne Oosthuizen and Carlene Van Der Westhuizen
WP 06/114, November 2006
There is consensus among analysts that South Africa’s unemployment is structural in the sense that the unemployed generally possess lower skills than what is required in the marketplace. In the context of increasing demand for skilled workers due to technical progress and the need to become more competitive globally, graduate unemployment would be expected to fall.
The Regulatory Environment and SMMEs. Evidence from South African Firm Level Data
WP 06/113, September 2006
The paper specifically examines: labour regulations and their relationship with employment and investment; trade regulations; permits and licences for businesses; visa regulations; the predictability of regulatory application; and the costs of regulation. It also investigates the ways firms respond to regulations.
The Impacts of Sector-Specific Policies and Regulations on the Growth of SMEs in Eight Sectors of the South African Economy
Strategic Business Partnerships for Growth in Africa (SBP)
WP 06/112, July 2006
The paper aims to identify the impacts of sector-specific policies and regulations on the growth of – and job creation by – SMEs in eight sectors of the South African economy. Where appropriate and, where possible, impacts are quantified. The aim is also to develop suggestions for policy changes and regulatory reforms which would reduce the regulatory cost burden on these SMEs and permit them to grow and take on workers more readily.
Risks to Global Trade and Implications for South Africa's Economy and Policy
WP 06/111, July 2006
The past two decades have witnessed an unprecedented globalisation of trade in goods and services. This process has been driven, inter alia, by technology, ideology and the availability of relatively cheap energy. By extrapolating this trend, one may expect further integration of world markets and increasingly unhindered international trade.
The Regulatory Efficiency of the CCMA: A Statistical Analysis of the CCMA's CMS Database
Paul Benjamin and Carola Gruen
WP 06/110, June 2006
The study involves a statistical analysis of the case management system (CMS) data base of the Commission for Conciliation Mediation and Arbitration (CCMA) for the financial years 2001/2, 2003/4 and 2004/5.
Regulated Flexibility and Small Business: Revisiting the LRA and the BCEA
WP 06/109, June 2006
The object of the paper is to identify the conceptual underpinnings of the labour law reforms of the 1990s, particularly the concept of regulated flexibility, and the changes to the labour market since then in order to review the performance of those reforms and to propose changes to more appropriately regulate that market.
Shifts in Non-Income Welfare in South Africa: 1993 - 2004
Haroon Bhorat, Carlene Van Der Westhuizen and Pranushka Naidoo
WP 06/108, May 2006
The aim of this study is to provide an analysis of the shifts in non-income welfare that have occurred over the period 1993 to 2004. This analysis serves as a complement to existing research which has focused on shifts in income poverty and inequality in the post-apartheid period. In addition, the study is one of only a few that provides a complete overview of the first decade of democracy by means of the comprehensive time period it covers.
Impact of Municipal Regulations on SMMEs
AFReC, MCA & BEES
WP 06/107, May 2006
The regulatory impact of municipalities on small enterprise is inextricably linked to their developmental and service delivery roles. A general lack of information about municipal regulations and their enforcement was also discerned among the small businesses interviewed.
Conditions of Employment and Small Business: Coverage, Compliance and Exemptions
Shane Godfrey, Johann Maree and Jan Theron
WP 06/106, March 2006
The research examines the different forms of regulation of conditions of employment (i.e. bargaining council agreements, the Basic Conditions of Employment Act (BCEA), and sectoral determinations) and what sort of accommodation they make for small firms.
Recent findings on Tax-Related Regulatory Burden on SMMEs in South Africa: Literature Review and Policy Options
Doubell Chamberlain and Anja Smith
WP 06/105, March 2006
Regulatory compliance costs impose a deadweight burden on firms and therefore should be minimised. In achieving this goal, it is necessary to embrace a process of smart regulation, rather than focus on deregulation. Tax compliance cost is one type of regulatory costs that is often viewed to have a large negative impact on SMMEs.
Trends in Poverty and Inequality Since the Political Transition
Servaas Van Der Berg, Ronelle Burger, Rulof Burger, Megan Louw and Derek Yu
WP 06/104, March 2006
Using a constructed data series and another data series based on the All Media and Products surveys (AMPS), this paper explores trends in poverty and income distribution over the post-transition period. To steer clear of an unduly optimistic conclusion, assumptions are chosen that would tend to show the least decline in poverty.
The Post-Apartheid Labour Market: 1995 - 2004
WP 06/103, February 2006
This paper seeks to investigate some of the changes that have occurred within the South African labour market in the post-apartheid era between 1995 and 2004 and some of the challenges the labour market presents in the attainment of shared growth, updating previous work by Bhorat and Oosthuizen (2004).
Second Best? Trends and Linkages in the Informal Economy in South Africa
Richard Devey, Caroline Skinner and Imraan Valodia
WP 06/102, February 2006
The idea of a second economy has become a feature of recent government economic policy. In this paper we focus on one important element of the second economy – the informal economy. We analyse the nature of the informal economy in South Africa, providing some descriptive statistics and analysis to highlight the nature and extent of the informal economy.
Poverty and Well-being in Post-Apartheid South Africa: An Overview of Data, Outcomes and Policy
Haroon Bhorat and Ravi Kanbur
WP 05/101, October 2005
This is an overview of poverty and well-being in the first decade of post-apartheid South Africa. It is an introduction to a volume that brings together some of the most prominent academic research done on this topic for the 10-year review process in South Africa. This overview highlights three key aspects of the picture that the detailed research paints.
Have Labour Market Outcomes Affected Household Structure in South Africa? A Descriptive Analysis of Households
WP 05/100, October 2005
This paper seeks to investigate how the demography of households relates to individual labour market outcomes. We comprehensively examine household size and structures in the October Household Surveys 1995, 1997, 1999 and the Labour Force Surveys September 2001 and 2002.
The Effects of Minimum Wages on the Employment and Earnings of South Africa's Domestic Service Workers
WP 05/099, October 2005
Minimum wages have been in place for South Africa’s one million domestic service workers since November of 2002. Using data from seven waves of the Labour Force Survey, this paper documents that the real hourly wages, average monthly earnings, and total earnings of all employed domestic workers have risen since the regulations came into effect, while hours of work per week and employment have fallen.
Market Failure, Human Capital, and Job Search Dynamics in South Africa: The Case of Duncan Village
Patrick Duff and David Fryer
WP 05/098, September 2005
This paper argues that the economic literature on unemployment and poverty in South Africa has under-explored potentially important feedback mechanisms which, because they serve to change the structure of labour markets and affect human capital trajectories, serve to endogenise labour market exclusion.
'Two Million Net New Jobs': A Reconsideration of the Rise in Employment in South Africa, 1995 - 2003
Daniela Casale, Colette Muller and Dorrit Posel
WP 05/097, August 2005
In this paper we investigate labour market trends in South Africa between October 1995 and March 2003. In particular, we evaluate the South African governments claim that over this period, the economy created two million net new jobs. Using the same household survey data as that used to generate official employment estimates, we also find an almost two million net increase in employment.
Subjective Well-being Poverty versus Income Poverty and Capabilities Poverty?
Geeta Kingdon and John Knight
WP 05/096, July 2005
The conventional approach of economists to the measurement of poverty in poor countries is to use measures of income or consumption. This paper asks: to what extent are these different concepts measurable, to what extent are they competing and to what extent complementary, and is it possible for them to be accommodated within an encompassing framework?
Community, Comparisons and Subjective Well-being in a Divided Society
Geeta Kingdon and John Knight
WP 05/095, July 2005
Using a South African data set, the paper poses six questions about the determinants of subjective well-being. Much of the paper is concerned with the role of relative concepts. We find that comparator income – measured as average income of others in the local residential cluster – enters the household’s utility function positively but that income of more distant others (others in the district or province) enters negatively.
Measuring recent Changes in South African Inequality and Poverty using 1996 and 2001 Census Data
Leibbrandt, Laura Poswell, Pranushka Naidoo, Matthew Welch and Ingrid Woolard
WP 05/094, June 2005
The paper analyses poverty and inequality changes in South Africa for the period 1996 to 2001 using Census data. As regards population group inequality, within-group inequality has increased; while between-group inequality has decreased (inequality has also increased in each province and across the rural/urban divide).
The Post-Apartheid South African Labour Market
Morne Oosthuizen and Haroon Bhorat
WP 05/093, April 2005
Since the demise of apartheid, the South African economy has undergone significant changes with the government implementing various policies aimed at redressing the injustices of the past, fleshing out the welfare system and improving competitiveness as the country becomes increasingly integrated into the global economy.
Poverty, Inequality and Labour Markets in Africa: A Descriptive Overview
WP 05/092, March 2005
This paper examines, through the application of available data, the poverty, inequality and labour market challenges facing Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The paper illustrates that apart from levels of poverty and inequality that are inordinately high in SSA, the region is also beset with perhaps the more worrying problem of accounting for almost all of the world’s ultra-poor: namely those individuals living on less than half of the standard $1 a day poverty line.
Estimating an Earnings Function from Coarsened Data by an Interval Censored Regression Procedure. Data
Reza C Daniels and Sandrine Rospabe
WP 05/091, February 2005
This paper estimates an earnings function where the dependent variable is a mix of point and interval data using an interval regression model based on a pseudo-maximum likelihood estimation procedure. The analysis uses the 1999 OHS, and takes into account point and interval income observations, as well as design features of the survey including stratification, clustering and weights.
Homing in on the Core - Households Incomes, Income Sources and Geography in South Africa
WP 04/090, December 2004
The focus of this study is on household income generation among previously disadvantaged households in South Africa. Households’ income sources are divided into categories that reflect differing extents of association with the core economy.
Half Measures: The ANC's Unemployment and Poverty Reduction Goals
WP 04/089, December 2004
Simulations suggest that under the most optimistic conditions, halving the official rate of unemployment would require 3.7 million jobs to be created between 2004 and 2014. Halving the number of expanded unemployed under pessimistic assumptions about the growth rate of the economically active would require 11 million jobs in the same period.
Internal Migration to the Gauteng Province
Morne Oosthuizen and Pranushka Naidoo
WP 04/088, November 2004
Gauteng, South Africa's economic powerhouse, has long been dependent on immigration to supply its labour requirements, a phenomenon deeply rooted in the province's early economic history and the development of mining and heavy industry. Although migration has contributed to the development of the province, it also poses challenges to the provincial government partly through the added burden on state-financed services and programmes.
Emergent Black Affluence and Social Mobility in Post-Apartheid South Africa
Rulof Burger, Ronelle Burger and Servaas Van Der Berg
WP 04/087, November 2004
Firstly, the paper at tempts to identify the features that distinguish the affluent and specifically the black affluent from the rest of the population with a descriptive analysis. The paper investigates how affluence predictors vary between different race groups. It shows a dramatic increase in black affluence.
Co-ordination Failure and Employment in South Africa
David Fryer and Desire Vencatachellum
WP 04/086, June 2004
South Africa lost more than 890,000 jobs, but saw an increase in the number of skilled workers from 1989 to 1999. We argue that this is the consequence of well-documented acute apartheid-era distortions which led to a current coordination failure where (i) firms are locked into a mostly skillintensive technology where they have very little demand for semi-skilled and unskilled labour, and (ii) there are too few semi-skilled and skilled blacks.
Productivity, Wages and Employment in South Africa's Manufacturing Sector, 1970 - 2002
WP 04/085, March 2004
This paper investigates the relationship between labour productivity, average real wages and employment in South Africa’s manufacturing sector, using cointegrating VAR and VECM econometric techniques. A long-run equilibrium relationship was found between real wages and productivity, with an elasticity of 0,38 indicating that productivity has grown more rapidly than wages.
What has the feminisation of the labour market 'brought' women in South Africa? Trends in labour force participation, employment and earnings, 1995 - 2001
WP 04/084, March 2004
There has been a dramatic increase in the labour force participation of women in South Africa since the mid-1990s. Male participation has also been increasing but at a substantially slower rate, such that a feminisation of the labour force has occurred, mirroring a more general global trend that has been occurring since World War Two.
Poverty and Labour Market Markers of HIV+ Households: An Exploratory Methodological Analysis
Haroon Bhorat and Najma Shaikh
WP 04/083, February 2004
This study, through an exploratory but promising methodology, provides a tentative analysis of the relationship between HIV, poverty and labour markets. The paper illustrates that the relationship between poverty, labour markets and HIV is not homogenous but multi-dimensional in character.
The Post-Apartheid Challenge: Labour Demand Trends in the South African Labour Market, 1995 - 1999
WP 03/082, August 2003
The paper attempts to provide a descriptive overview of absolute and relative shifts in labour demand in the South African economy over the post-apartheid period, 1995-1999. The paper debunks the myth that the domestic economy is characterised by ‘jobless growth’ in this period.
Expected Labour Demands in South Africa 1998 - 2003
WP 03/081, August 2003
The current misalignment of labour supply and demand in South Africa constitutes one of the factors that hold back the countrys economic growth. Consequently, efforts have recently been made to estimate future labour demand so that current policies are designed in such a way as to attempt to minimise the skills mismatch.
The Contribution of Technikons to Human Resources Development in South Africa
WP 03/080, August 2003
This paper documents the phenomenal contribution that technikons have made to the development of human resources in South Africa, particularly high level human resources throughout the period of the 1990s. This is done by examining the enrolment and qualifications profile of technikons over a fifteen year period.
Sector Education Training Authorities and the Delivery of Training: Preliminary Remarks on the New Skills Dispensation in South Africa
WP 03/079, August 2003
The workplace training dispensation that is evolving in South Africa represents a significant advance over previous initiatives in the country. While it is funded on the basis of payroll levies, the relatively sophisticated institutional structure in the administration of the system has caused delays in its set-up and operation.
The Impact of Privatisation and Regulatory Reform on Wage Premia in State-Owned Enterprises in South Africa
Damian Hattingh, James Hodge and Sandrine Rospabe
WP 03/078, July 2003
Whilst much has been said about the employment effects of the privatisation of state-owned enterprises in South Africa, the debate has largely overlooked the impact of these events on the wage levels of those workers that retain their jobs in the restructuring process. This paper estimates earnings functions for workers in the South African economy to determine the impact of these changes.
Earnings and Employment Dynamics for Africans in Post-Apartheid South Africa: A Panel Study of Kwa Zulu-Natal
Paul L Cichello, Gary S Fields and Murray Leibbrandt
WP 03/077, May 2003
The labour market is central in determining individual and household well-being in South Africa. Therefore, an understanding of earnings and employment dynamics is a key policy issue. However, the absence of panel data has constrained empirical work addressing these topics. This paper conducts such a study using a regional panel data set, the KwaZulu-Natal Income Dynamics Study (KIDS).
Returns to Education in South Africa: Evidence from the Machibisa Township
David Fryer and Desire Vencatachellum
WP 03/076, May 2003
We develop a model where blacks in the private sector earn no returns to education if there are relatively too few educated blacks. Using a sample of black females in the late apartheid Kwa Zulu to control for labour market specific effects, we find that more than a fifth of labour market participants are self-employed. There are no returns to primary education and positive returns for the first two years of secondary education.
Estimates for Poverty Alleviation in South Africa, with an Application to a Universal Income Grant
WP 03/075, April 2003
Through the use of the standard tools of poverty analysis, this paper attempts to firstly measure the minimum financial contribution required from the state to eliminate poverty in the society. Secondly, we measure the absolute and relative household poverty impact of instituting a universal income grant, set at different monthly values.
What has been happening to Internal Labour Migration in South Africa, 1993 - 1999?
Dorrit Posel and Daniela Casale
WP 03/074, April 2003
This paper attempts to redress the lack of research into temporary labour migration at a national level in South Africa. Using the 1993 Project for Statistics on Living Standards and Development and the 1995, 1997 and 1999 October Household Surveys, we explore three broad areas: the extent of labour migration over the period 1993 to 1999; the characteristics of migrant workers and how these have changed over time; and the economic ties that labour migrants have maintained with their households of origin.
Education and Socio-Economic Differentials: A Study of School Performance in the Western Cape
Servaas Van Der Berg and Ronelle Burger
WP 03/073, March 2003
Not surprisingly, the education system is widely perceived to be the major tool to overcome human capital and labour market inequalities in South Africa. This paper asks how well the education system accomplishes this goal. The first part of the paper examines human capital differentials between races and provides evidence of persistent race-based educational attainment and quality differentials.
Measuring South Africa's Informal Sector: An Analysis of National Household Surveys
WP 03/071, January 2003
This study uses three key South African national household survey instruments – the 1993 Project Statistics for Statistics of Living Standards and Development, the 1995, 1997 and 1999 October Household Surveys, and the September 2000 Labour Force Survey – to identify the problems involved in capturing information on who works in the informal sector and the kind of work they do.
Cape International Convetion Centre: The Projected Economic Distribution
WP 02/070, August 2002
Towards the end of 2000, a study was commissioned into the projected economic impact of the new Cape Town International Convention Centre. The study set out to measure the macroeconomic impact of the Convention Centre as well as identify industries that could be promoted by the existence of the Centre.
Special Problems in Securing A Reduction in Working Hours: The Case of Security Workers
WP 02/069, July 2002
The paper considers the complex process of introducing a regime of shorter working hours in the private security sector in South Africa. While the process of reducing the working hours of security workers in 1999 was bold, there is potential for real gains and losses to be derived from the process and this depends on the system and levels of compensation that are negotiated for the period of transition to the new schedules in working hours.
Employment, Wages and Skills Development: Firm-Specific Effects - Evidence from Two Firm Surveys in South Africa
Haroon Bhorat and Paul Lundall
WP 02/068, June 2002
The paper explores the inter and intra firm dynamics that are instrumental in shaping the determination of skills training within the South African labour market. The essential starting point is to show that the size of the enterprise and nature of the economic sector in which these enterprises operate, sets conditions on the regimes of enterprise training and skills development.
Foreign Investments in SADC
WP 02/067, June 2002
This paper explores some of the key issues related to FDI in Southern Africa. It takes a look at comparative patterns and trends of investment flows in developing regions (including the SADC). In addition, an account of the institutional and regulatory framework in the SADC region and consequences for investment flows into SADC, is provided.
An Analysis of the Spatial Distribution of the Clothing Textile Industry in SADC
WP 02/066, April 2002
This paper focuses on the clothing and textile industry in the SADC region, with specific reference to the locational characteristics and developments of these two industry sectors over the last decade. The study links the economic and spatial characteristics of the clothing and textile industries, looks at the current situation and analyses the drivers and barriers to industrialisation and location.
Why is Youth Unemployment so High and Unequally spread in South Africa?
Cecil Mlatsheni and Sandrine Rospabe
WP 02/065, May 2002
Not only does the South African labour market exhibit a high unemployment rate for the young, according to international standards, but it also shows evidence of large inequalities between age groups, races and genders. Thus, this paper first seeks to explain these stylised factsinvestigating the microeconomic determinants of employment for different groups of the population.
Transaction Costs and Clothing and Textile Trade in SADC
WP 02/064, April 2002
This working paper looks at clothing and textile trade in the Southern African Development Community (SADC). Clothing and textile production is important in terms of employment and development, and thus they have been priority sectors since the SADCC inception in 1980. Evidence of intra-regional trade is presented. The scope for increased trade is then discussed and transaction costs are examined as one of the major factors restricting this increased trade.
A Decomposition of Growth of the Real Wage Rate for South Africa: 1970 - 2000
Dipak Mazumdar and Dirk van Seventer
WP 02/063, March 2002
This paper examines the potential trade-off between growth in employment and growth in wages. In order to assess the trade-off between employment growth and real wage growth, we make use of a simple decomposition model, following Mazumdar (2000), in which real wage growth is determined by growth in real value added, employment growth, a trend in the wage share of value added and a relative price effect.
A Comparison of Wage Levels and Wage Inequality in the Public and Private Sectors, 1995 - 2000
WP 02/062, March 2002
This paper sets out to investigate relative wages and wage dispersion for formal sector workers in the private and public sectors. The paper explicitly measures the size of the public sector wage premium and offers some reasons for its existence. It also attempts to document the changing pattern of wage differentials between public and private sector employees between 1995 and 2000.
Achieving Employment Equity in the Public Service: A study of changes between 1995 and 2001
Keith Thompson and Ingrid Woolard
WP 02/061, January 2002
This paper will seek to analyse the performance of the public sector in implementing affirmative action policies intended to promote employment equity. This will be done primarily by examining the pattern of changes in public sector employment over the past five years.
Trade, Technology and Wage Inequality in South Africa
Tahir Abdi and Lawrence Edwards
WP 02/060, January 2002
Significant declines in employment have coincided with trade liberalisation in South Africa stimulating many debates on possible causal relationships between the two. Existing research has, however, focussed on explaining employment trends rather than changes in the relative wage of less skilled to skilled labour. Further, the role of technology in influencing relative wages has been neglected.
Labour Market Reform and the Evolution of the Racial Wage Hierarchy in Post-Apartheid South Africa
Paul Allanson and Jonathan Atkins
WP 01/059, December 2001
The central theme of this working paper is the way that the racial wage hierarchy evolved in South Africa over the period 1993 to 1999 amongst full-time regular employees of normal working age, but excluding those in the primary sector and the defence forces.
The Southern African regional clothing and textile industry: Case studies of Malawi, Mauritius and Zimbabwe
WP 01/058, December 2001
This paper seeks to establish the consequences of a changing trade and investment environment for the clothing and textile industry in Southern Africa. The study covers Malawi, Mauritius and Zimbabwe - the three largest producers of textiles and garments outside South Africa.
The role of intra-industry trade and cross-border supply chains in facilitating regional integration in the SADC markets
WP 01/057, November 2001
Previous studies have indicated that there may be untapped potential for exports from non-SACU SADC countries to the SACU market. The share of non-SACU markets in exports to the rest of the world has been increasing while the SACU share has remained the same. Concerns have been raised that the size of the South African economy and the net trade surplus of the Customs Union relative to that of the other SADC members may lead to polarization within the region.
Regional supply chain development: A case study of the clothing and textile industry in SADC
WP 01/056, November 2001
The textile, clothing production, sugar, and agro-processing largely account for intra-regional cross-border supply chains, and drives trade within the region. These industries hold potential for strengthening ties throughout the region by integrating value-added supply chains and intra-industry trade (IIT) across borders.
Consumer Indebtedness Among Urban South African Households: A Descriptive Overview
WP 01/055, September 2001
This working paper analyses consumer indebtedness among urban South African households. The theoretical basis of the topic lies within consumption theory, and the empirical exercises are conducted on Part Two of the October Household Survey – the Income and Expenditure Survey (Statistics South Africa, 1995) and an adjusted 1999 dataset constructed by Wefa Southern Africa.
The role of education and fertility in the participation and employment of African women in South Africa
Cecil Mlatsheni and Murray Leibbrandt
WP 01/054, September 2001
Policy makers are well aware that creating jobs is an important priority if the health of our economy is to be preserved and improved. However, the first step towards a successful strategy of employment creation is an understanding of the labour market. Much attention has been devoted to analysing the unemployment/employment divide without sufficient attention being given to labour market participation itself.
Inflation and the role of wages in South Africa: A co-integration analysis
Ben Smit and Stan du Plessis
WP 01/053, September 2001
An explanation of inflation that focuses on the costs of production, wages (or unit labour costs) plays a central role. In South Africa, the recent change to an inflation-targeting monetary policy framework and the relative strong role of trade unions has increased the need to understand and quantify the interaction between inflation and wages.
Evaluation of Spatial Development Initiatives: Case studies of the Maputo Development Corridor and the West Coast Investment Initiative
David Bek and Ian Taylor
WP 01/052, August 2001
Spatial Development Initiatives (SDIs) form an integral part of the South African government strategy to attract investment. SDIs are claimed to be short-term and targeted undertakings to foster economic growth. This working paper reviews two SDI projects, namely the Maputo Development Corridor (MDC) and the West Coast Investment Initiative (WCII).
The Determinants of Intra-Regional Trade in Southern African with Specific Reference to South Africa and the Rest of the Region
WP 01/051, June 2001
The paper puts forward a case for more attention to be paid to fundamental structural factors that will determine the scope and success of any regional integration initiative in the Southern African Development Community (SADC). The paper provides a review of current estimates of trade potential in the region and contrasts this with the author's own estimates of intra-regional trade.
Key Issues facing Sugar Industries in the Southern African Development Community
WP 01/050, May 2001
The objective of this working paper is to highlight the major issues facing sugar industries in SADC. This is achieved within a framework that recognises the existence of distortions in global sugar markets. To this end, a conceptual framework whose central pillar is the existence of market distortions is presented. It is followed by a description of the characteristics of the SADC sugar industries and the kind of distortions that they face in the real world.
Racial Wage Discrimation in South Africa: Before and After the First Democratic Election
Gaute Erichsen and Jeremy Wakeford
WP 01/049, May 2001
Apartheid in South Africa was formally discarded by the first free election in 1994. Prior to 1994, discrimination in the labour market was embodied in a number of policies (pass laws, occupational colour barring etc.). While such polices have been eliminated by the ANC government, it is likely that the eradication of racial wage discrimination altogether will be a lengthy process.
Making Racial Wage Relations Fair in South Africa: A Focus on the Role of Trade Unions
WP 01/048, April 2001
The aim of this working paper is to highlight the influence of South African trade unions on African and White earnings as well as their role in the reduction of wage inequalities and discrimination between these two groups. The econometric analysis utilises a 1997 microeconomic data set. Findings show firstly that the union wage premium for African male workers lies between 13 percent and 20 percent, depending on the methods used.
Institutional Aspects of the Maputo Development Corridor
WP 01/047, April 2001
Maputo Development Corridor (MDC), what actors and stakeholders are involved in the policy- and decision-making processes, and draws some lessons for future development corridors and spatial development initiatives (SDIs) in the broader Southern African region.
Poverty Alleviation in the Subsistence Fisheries Sector: A Microeconometric Analysis
WP 01/046, March 2001
This working paper applies the Foster Greer and Thorbecke (FGT) (1984) index of poverty measures to the subsistence fishing industry in South Africa in order to evaluate the impact of resource transfers on poverty. The sample of subsistence communities was identified by the Chief Directorate: Marine and Coastal Management of the Department of Environmental Affairs and Tourism.
Competition Policy and Privatisation in the South African Water Industry
Beatrice Conradie, Jacqui Goldin, Anthony Leiman, Barry Standish and Martine Visser
WP 01/045, March 2001
The aim of this working paper is to investigate the optimal regulatory routes from a competition and public interest point of view for the South African water industry. The working paper presents the basic conditions of the water sector by outlining the main characteristics of water, providing an historical and international overview of water management in South Africa.
Public-private partnerships: Lessons from the Maputo Development Corridor Toll Road
WP 00/044, December 2000
Launched in 1995, Spatial Development Initiatives (SDIs) are currently the main vehicle used by the South African government to promote regional development. SDI project(s) purport to be short-term and targeted attempts to stimulate "growth" by creating globally competitive spatial entities, new investment, infrastructural development and job creation.
Wage premia and wage differentials in the South African Labour Market
WP 00/043, October 2000
The aim of this paper is to highlight wage trends and patterns in the South African labour market through examining wage premia and wage differentials. The analysis utilises data from the October Household Survey of 1995. Findings show that the regular race, gender and educational differentials arise when looking at median wages, with the racial wage gap being more severe than the gender wage gap.
Regional Trade Integration in Southern Africa: Critical Policy Issues
WP 00/042, September 2000
The aim of this paper is to highlight key issues arising from regional trade integration in the Southern African Development Community (SADC) as well as the concomitant policies required to facilitate the trade process. The paper highlights issues pertaining to distribution effects arising from integrating unequal partners and the need for open trade policies in order to realise potential positive spillovers.
Are Wage Adjustments an Effective Mechanism for Poverty Alleviation? Some Simulations for Domestic and Farm Workers
WP 00/041, September 2000
This paper utilises a basic simulation exercise to analyse the possible poverty and employment reducing effects, of instituting a minimum wage in the South African labour market. The simulation is undertaken for three groups of unskilled workers, namely domestic workers, farm workers and drivers.
Assessing the South African Brain Drain, a Statistical Comparison
Jean-Baptiste Meyer, Mercy Brown, David Kaplan
WP 00/040, July 2000
For several decades the analysis of the so-called brain drain has been hampered by measurement problems. It is now recognised that the official figures significantly underestimate the extent of the brain drain phenomenon and its increase since the political changes in the mid-1990's. This paper, using data from various reliable sources, provides new statistical evidence on the size of the brain drain from South Africa.
Macroeconomic policy and trade intergration in Southern Africa
WP 00/039, April 2000
The aim of this paper is to determine if macroeconomic policy convergence amongst member countries of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) is required for establishing and sustaining a free trade area (FTA). The paper also investigates whether a restraining mechanism is required in order to compel member countries to have compatible macroeconomic policies.
The impact of the Maputo Development Corridor on freight flows: an initial investigation
Amanda Driver and Joao Gabriel de Barros
WP 00/038, March 2000
This paper provides an analysis of the effect of the Maputo Development Corridor (MDC) on freight flows between Mozambique and South Africa. By analysing the transport infrastructure of the MDC, this paper seeks to provide insight into the relationship between investment in infrastructure and economic growth.
Understanding the high tech sector in the Cape Metropolitan Region: a contribution to the development of a regional strategy for high tech industry
James Hodge and Amanda Driver
WP 00/037, March 2000
The aim of this working paper is to contribute to a strategy for developing the high tech sector in the Cape Metropolitan Region (CMR) through a better understanding of the high tech firms that already exist.
An Overview of the Role of Producer Services in the Petrochemicals Industry in South Africa: A Case Study of Sasol
WP 00/036, February 2000
The petrochemicals industry in South Africa has grown significantly over the past two decades, largely as a result of the expansion and diversification of the premier petrochemical producer - Sasol. This working paper examines the role that producer services have played in this growth.
An Overview of Producer Services in the Mining Industry in South Africa
Thomas E. Pogue
WP 00/035, February 2000
The mining industry has been at the heart of South Africa's economy for over 100 years. This working paper explores an aspect of the mining industry that has received little attention - the producer services used in production. It finds that producer services are a key part of the mining industry, especially in the exploration and commissioning stages.
Contemporary Labour Market Policy and Poverty in South Africa
WP 99/034, December 1999
This paper outlines the recent labour market reforms in South Africa and discusses their likely impact on poverty and the working poor. Using an innovative framework developed elsewhere in the literature, the paper shows how labour market processes and outcomes can affect the level of household poverty in a country.
Measuring Poverty in South Africa
Ingrid Woolard and Murray Leibbrandt
WP 99/033, October 1999
This paper sets out the methodological issues for the measurement of poverty before presenting a poverty profile of South Africa. It tests the sensitivity of the poverty profile to choices around the metric used to measure well-being, the equivalence scale used and the level of the poverty line.
Modelling Vulnerability and Low Earnings in the South African Labour Market
Haroon Bhorat and Murray Leibbrandt
WP 99/032, October 1999
Drawing on a comparative overview of the earnings function work on South Africa, this article presents an alternative and comprehensive model of earnings in the South African labour market. The paper uses the standard Heckman two-step approach in trying to model participation, employment and earnings.
Household Incomes, Poverty and Inequality in a Multivariate Framework
Murray Leibbrandt and Ingrid Woolard
WP 99/031, December 1999
The existing work on household poverty and inequality in South Africa has shown that poverty and inequality differ markedly by race, location, education, gender of the head, household demographics and household labour market participation. However, it is important to try and go further than this listing of key correlates and to give any indication of the relative importance of these dimensions.
Social Policy to Address Poverty
Servaas Van Der Berg
WP 99/030, August 1999
This paper provides an analysis of the role of social policies in alleviating poverty in South Africa. In doing so, the paper assesses the contribution of education and social security in reducing poverty in the country.
The Present as a Legacy of the Past: The Labour Market, Inequality and Poverty in South Africa
Servaas Van Der Berg and Haroon Bhorat
This paper provides an analysis of poverty in South Africa by focussing on the labour market. It seeks to understand inequality and poverty in contemporary South Africa by analysing the main factors that have contributed to these socio-economic outcomes. The paper shows that poverty and inequality are still widespread in South Africa, and have their origins in the labour market.
Regional Institutional Structure and Industrial Strategy: Richards Bay and the Spatial Development Initiatives
Peter V Hall
WP 99/028, August 1999
This paper provides an institutional analysis of the South African Spatial Development Initiative (SDI) policy. It deals, firstly, with the concept of regional institutional structure, secondly, with the SDI program in South Africa and how it attempts to address national industrial strategy concerns in a spatially redistributive fashion, and thirdly, describes the case study of the growth-pole bulk-export port of Richards Bay.
Correlates of Vulnerability in the South African Labour Market
Haroon Bhorat, Murray Leibbrandt
WP 99/027, May 1999
Using the October Household Survey of 1995 (OHS95), this paper seeks to understand the determinants of indigence in the South African labour market. To this end the study presents a description of the labour market, focusing on how covariates such as race, gender, education and location help explain the poverty observed in the labour market.
Public Expenditure and Poverty Alleviation in the South African Labour Market
WP 99/026, May 1999
The paper utilises a class of poverty measures to determine the potential cost to the fiscus, in 1995 Rands, of alleviating poverty in South Africa. The simulations are undertaken for both households and individuals in the society, by the different covariates of poverty.
Understanding Contemporary Household Inequality in South Africa
Murray Leibbrandt, Haroon Bhorat and Ingrid Woolard
WP 99/025, May 1999
This paper uses various decomposition techniques to understand the nature of household inequality in contemporary South Africa. It examines, firstly, the importance of race in overall inequality; secondly, the contribution of major income sources to national inequality; and thirdly, the relationship between inequality, poverty and the labour market.
The SADC's Revealed Comparative Advantage in Regional and International Trade
WP 98/015, November 1998
This paper forms part of the DPRU Industrial Strategy Project: Phase Two.
Allocating Community Benefits: Institutional Options in Support of the Empo-Tourism Models
Sean Eliffe, Peter Rutsch and Geoff de Beer
WP 98/014, February 1998
This paper is the fourth in a series of issue papers prepared within the SDI Policy Programme. It aims to support and enhance the application of work already completed on economic empowerment and to guide/influence the planning and development processes applied in respect of each of the individual tourism led SDI's.
Income and Price Elasticities in Manufacturing Exports
WP 98/013, February 1998
The cornerstone of the South African government's economic policy lies in the Growth Employment and Redistribution (GEAR) programme.
An Assessment of the Factors that Promoted Industrial Development in Richards Bay
Jayanthi Aniruth and Justin Barnes
WP 97/012, December 1997
The research findings and policy recommendatons presented in this report owe their existence to the Industrial Strategy Project (ISP), who commissioned the study as a mechanism for providing input into the Spatial Development Initiative (SDI) policy framework nationally.
Tourism Development and the Empowerment of Local Communities
Geoff de Beer and Sean Eliffe
WP 97/011, August 1997
This paper has been prepared as part of the Spatial Development Initiatives (SDI) policy research program.
Some International Perspectives on Tourism Led Socio-Economic Development
Geoff de Beer and Brian Wheeller
WP 97/010, August 1997
The concept of tourism led socio-economic developemnt in not new or peculiar to South Africa, and international experience and best practise are being assessed as part of the SDI Policy Programme (Agri-tourism SDI's).
A Tale of Two Companies: A Case Study of the Glass Packaging Industry in South Africa
WP 97/009, February 1997
The two companies chosen for this study were chosen specifically to explore how companies, facing similar competitive pressures, have decided to respond.
Restructuring for Survival: A Case Study of a Small-Appliance Manufacturer in South Africa
WP 97/008, September 1997
The essence of the story is that this is a factory with a heartbeat. There is a constant focus on product development, quality and cost. Communication is high on the list of objectives. There is a joint definition of productivity as a state of mind, a collective will to improve and a general belief in the human desire to do better.
Learning, Technical Change and the Trade Regime in the South African Automotive Component Sector
WP 96/007, December 1996
In an article published in the Harvard Business Review in 1989, Magaziner et al give a compelling description of the entry of the Korean conglomerate, Samsung, into microwave oven production in the early 1970's.
South African Industrial Policy and the Learning Firm: A Case Study of Bell Equipment Ltd
Raphael Kaplinsky and Edmund Mhlongo
WP 96/006, November 1996
The debate on industrial policy is often counterposed between two truisms.
Restructuring the South African Steel Industry: Case-Study Newcastle
WP 96/005, July 1996
This paper, as part of teh Industriap Strategic Project (ISP) Phase Two, Sectors, Clusters and Regions Project researches the effect of industrial restructuring in the town of Newcastle, KwaZulu/Natal.
Printing and Publishing in the Witwatersrand
WP 96/004, July 1996
The aim of this research project is to determine the role that institutions, including government at all levels, could play in bolstering economic performance in sectorally and geographically concentrated manufacturing firms, and to examine whether such initiatives can form part of a regional industrial policy.
The Clothing Industry in Durban
WP 96/003, July 1996
Dating back several decades, and shaped by the history of the region, the clothing industry in Durban is unique in its relationships, functioning, institutions and prodpects. But it is also one of the largest concentrations of clothing manufacturers in the country.
A Study of the Cape Clothing Industry
WP 96/002, July 1996
In terms of economic development, regional and local government strategies in South Africa (SA) have focused on the attraction of foreign direct investment and promoting tourism.
The South African Fruit Processing Industry: Is the Climate Ripe?
WP 96/001, July 1996
The previous government's Regional Industrial Development Policy (RIDP) was premised on a logic of dispersion. This policy resulted in the relocation of labour-intensive industries to the homelands and other 'deconcentration points'.
The State of Science and Technology in South Africa: New Priorities, New Policies
WP 95/001, 1995
This paper surveys the new government's inheritance with respect to science and technology (S&T). Based on an assessment of that inheritance, the author defines the likely policy objectives of the new government and outlines how goverment will seek to restructure the S&T system to meet the new policy objectives.